A latest opinion poll by Global InfoAnalytics for the 2024 general elections in Ghana has shown flag bearer of the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) John Mahama, has taken a huge lead over the governing New Patriotic Party’s candidate, Vice president Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia in the race to be the next President of Ghana in January 2025.
With almost eleven months to the elections, John Mahama leads in the poll with 53.2% while Dr Mahamudu Bawumia trails on 29.6%.
Meanwhile, Former Trade and Industry Minister, Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen who defected from the NPP to run as an independent candidate under the “Movement of Change” had 7.7% support of voters.
While John Mahama latest poll figures resulted in a significant rise from the 48.3% he garnered in a similar conducted pollp in October 2023, Vice President Dr. Bawumia saw a marginal climb from the 28% he recorded in the same period with Alan Kyerematen’s 7.7% being a significant drop in the 11.3% he was projected to get from the October poll.
Additionally, nearly 4.2% of voters in the latest poll say they intend to vote for other candidates, a drop from the 7% in the earlier poll, whilst 5.3% remain undecided on their choice for the 2024 election. Among first time voters, John Mahama leads with 51%, with Dr Bawumia projected to get some 25% and Alan Kyeremanteng 8%.
7% of first-time voters intend to vote for other candidates while 9% are undecided.
The latest poll also has Mr. Mahama now leading in all regions except the North-East region where Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s advantage has now narrowed.
According to Global Info Analytics, although John Mahama's lead in the Ashanti and Eastern regions could be an outlier in the polls, the NPP’s poor performance may reflect growing concern about voter apathy in those regions.
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