The April 2024 edition of Global InforAnalytics survey has put former President John Dramani Mahama ahead of his close rival Dr. Mahamadu Bawumia having also shortens John Dramani Mahama lead by 3%.

The latest poll by Global InforAnalytics suggests the 2024 presidential race is tightening amidst a nationwide tour by the vice president Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB). The poll shows that DMB has narrowed John Dramani Mahama’s (JDM) lead in the poll by approximately 3% compared to the April 2024 poll. JDM now leads DMB 51.1% to 38.2%, Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten (AKK), 5.3%, Nana Kwame Bediako (NKB), 4.6% and others nearly 1%.

The poll shows that in the event of a runoff, JDM is on 52%, DMB, 42% and 6% of voters are undecided. In what could be a shock to the political duopoly in Ghana, the poll shows NKB making significant gains in the Central, Ashanti, Eastern and Volta regions. NKB leads in Abura Asebu Kwamankese and Kade constituencies in the Central and Eastern regions respectively.

The race also shows a dramatic shift in the Central region during the period as JDM drops from 51% in April 2024 to 39% in the July. The poll also shows DMB haemorrhaging in the region as he recorded a decline from 45% in April to 30%. AKK and NKB made huge gains in the region after they lost grounds in the April poll. AKK and NKB are now tied in third and fourth place with 13% of the votes each.

DMB also recorded significant gain in the Ashanti region. He now attracts 66% of the vote compared to 54% recorded in the April. JDM on the other hand, suffered a decline from 31% to 22% in July. AKK also saw a decline and now on 8%, from 12% in April. NKB doubled his votes in the region as he attracts 4% of the votes in July compared to 2% in April poll. The poll also shows that the race is tied among first-time voters as JDM and DMB are locked on 41% apiece. AKK attracts 8% of first-time voters and NKB, 9%. JDM led first-time voters 52% to 33% in the April poll.

Overall, 4.2% of voters are undecided and 5% said they will not vote. The poll shows that 22% of voters who are undecided are from the Greater Accra, Ashanti, 16%, Western, 12% and Eastern, 11%. For those who will not vote, 19% are from the Greater Accra, Ashanti region, 22%, Eastern region, 17% and Western region, 13%.

On the direction of the country, 63% of voters believe Ghana is headed in the wrong direction while 27% believe it is headed in the right direction. 47% of voters also believe that their standard of living compared to a year ago has worsened, while 21% say it has improved, 27% said it has not changed and 5% did not have an opinion. Majority of voters are unhappy with the performance of President Nana Akufo Addo. 60% disapprove of his performance while 35% approve of it and 6% did not have an opinion.

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